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Trampolim · Technology weekly

The Week in Tech

Issue 15Week of August 4–9, 202616 stories
Hardware

Memory prices return to 2007 levels, erasing twenty years of decline

The AI build-out pushed memory to prices the market hasn't seen since before the first iPhone. A billion dollars of phone silicon waits on a shelf.

Memory prices return to 2007 levels, erasing twenty years of decline
Hardware · August 4–9, 2026

Memory pricing has returned, in normalised terms, to where it stood in 2007. The calculation comes from a researcher tracking the long series, showing that the shortage driven by AI demand undid two decades of continuous price decline in a matter of months.

Memory is the best-documented case of steady cheapening in computing. Returning to 2007 doesn't mean the technology regressed; it means demand grew at a rate installed fabrication capacity can't match, and won't match soon, because a new fab takes years.

The effect has already left the abstract. Industry reporting puts roughly a billion dollars of silicon destined for the next iPhone generation sitting idle awaiting packaging because of the memory shortage. When the bottleneck reaches the highest-volume product of the largest phone maker, it has stopped being a niche problem.

On the supply side, manufacturers are moving. Samsung introduced three next-generation memory technologies aimed at AI data centres, and Sandisk and SK hynix published a specification with up to sixteen stacked layers. Real responses, on slow timelines.

For anyone buying equipment, the practical reading is that a budget built on last year's prices no longer closes, and the gap won't revert because a supplier decides to be reasonable. It is why laptop makers began accepting second-source memory, as reported the same week.

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